“Much have I suffered, labored long and hard by now
in the waves and wars. Add this to the total—bring the trial on!”
— Odysseus, by some guy known as Homer
“Buy when everyone is in pain,” says Marin Katusa on this week’s Wiggin Session. “And sell when they are cocky at the cocktail party.”
A finger to the pulse then, today.
Yesterday we said that things will get ugly in the coming months. The average consumer seems to think the same.
This is the University of Michigan’s chart on consumer sentiment:
What we’re looking at is a clear downtrend from around this time last year. Our analysis tells us the average consumer is beginning to allocate their finances selectively, readying for defensive positioning.
Ultimately, it is the rise in the cost of living (i.e. inflation) that is fueling the average consumer’s misgivings.
COVID is out the window, though Biden would beg to differ.
Inflation runs amok, and the Fed is playing catch up. No economic muse to save Powell. (Amok, by the way, I just learned this week, is a Malay word.)
Consumer spending accounts for roughly 65% of the United States’ total GDP. If we are to trust the average consumer’s psychology, all signs point to the r-word. Katusa defined it quite curtly, here.
Spending on cruises and international travel is the first to go.
So why is Larry Fink saying “Go on vacation!” to Mad Money’s Jim Cramer on CNBC?
Maybe because that’s what we all ought to do before October rolls around and the holiday’s slam us. Before it really gets bad.
Katusa again: “Do your homework. And you keep buying, like an alligator.”
We ain’t seen nothing yet.
So it goes,
Founder, Financial Reserve
P.S. Chris Daigle, a doer-not-sayer and long-time friend of mine in the finpub industry said this about our Session this week. “I love Marin Katusa’s investment philosophy… thanks for having him on your channel, Addison 👍🏼.”
Thanks for watching, Dr. Daigle.
Now, let’s look at everything our team recommended this week…
There were no new recommendations on Monday.
In a new market analysis for Real Estate Trend Alert, Ronan McMahon introduces “The Village: $36,500 in Annual Income and 5-Star Luxury.”
In The Profit Wire, Dave and Alan recommend selling all of your shares of Affirm Holdings Inc. (AFRM) at market for a 43% gain. Also sell all of your AFRM Sept. 16, 2022, $17.50 calls for $11.80 or better to collect a 100% gain.
In the Jim Rickards’ Strategic Intelligence PRO Crisis Survival Insider, Jim introduces “Better Survival Methods Through the Four R’s.”
In The Profit Wire, Dave and Alan recommend selling all of your Starbucks Corp. (SBUX) shares at market for a 14% gain and your remaining SBUX Sept. 16, 2022, $70 calls for $15.10 or better to collect a 100% gain.